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Roblox Corp (RBLX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered outsized topline and user growth: revenue $1.36B (+48% YoY, +26% QoQ), bookings $1.92B (+70% YoY), DAUs 151.5M (+70% YoY), hours 39.6B (+91% YoY); operating cash flow $546.2M (+121% YoY) and free cash flow $442.6M (+103% YoY) .
  • Management raised FY25 guidance materially: bookings to $6.57–$6.62B (from $5.87–$5.97B), revenue to $4.83–$4.88B (from $4.39–$4.49B), OCF to $1.61–$1.64B (from $1.34–$1.40B), and FCF to $1.15–$1.18B (from $1.03–$1.09B); CapEx raised to $468M to support safety/AI and infrastructure .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus for Q3: EPS beat (-$0.37 vs -$0.51 est), while GAAP revenue missed ($1.36B vs $1.70B est); S&P “EBITDA” also missed (actual -$241.2M vs $429.5M est)*. Note: Roblox emphasizes bookings (non-GAAP) which rose 70% YoY and are primarily deferred into future revenue recognition .
  • Key drivers: multiple viral hits (Grow a Garden, Steal a Brainrot, 99 Nights in the Forest), record 45M peak concurrency, stronger 13+ cohorts and international expansion; discovery/creator economics improvements and regional pricing aided payer growth .
  • Watch items: near‑term cost intensity from cloud burst/AI and higher DevEx; 2026 commentary flags tough comps and safety rollouts that may pressure margins slightly as investments catch up to growth .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based platform momentum: DAUs 151.5M (+70% YoY), hours 39.6B (+91% YoY), MUPs 35.8M; viral titles plus engagement outside top-10 (+58% YoY) underpin ecosystem health .
  • Monetization and cash generation: bookings $1.92B (+70% YoY), OCF $546.2M (+121% YoY), FCF $442.6M (+103% YoY); average bookings per DAU increased in every region YoY .
  • Strategic narrative: “tremendous progress… toward our goal of capturing 10% of the global gaming market” and establishing a “gold standard for communication safety,” with 13B+ hours/month data fueling AI world models (Cube 4D) .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability optics: consolidated net loss widened to -$257.4M YoY and Adjusted EBITDA declined to $45.7M as operating costs are recognized immediately while revenue is deferred (27-month paying user life) .
  • Cost pressures: infrastructure and trust & safety expenses rose to $321.4M (+25% QoQ, +31% YoY), driven by third‑party cloud burst to support record concurrency; cost of revenue at 21.8% of revenue .
  • Mix effects: rapid international payer growth diluted ABPMUP even as U.S./Canada ABPMUP grew >10% YoY; near‑term friction possible from new safety policies .

Financial Results

Income Statement and Cash Flow (USD Millions, except per-share)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$1,035.2 $1,080.7 $1,359.6
Bookings (non‑GAAP)$1,206.7 $1,437.6 $1,921.8
Loss from Operations-$254.7 -$322.5 -$296.5
Net Loss-$216.3 -$279.8 -$257.4
Diluted EPS-$0.32 -$0.41 -$0.37
Adjusted EBITDA (non‑GAAP)$58.0 $18.4 $45.7
Operating Cash Flow$443.9 $199.3 $546.2
Free Cash Flow$426.5 $176.7 $442.6

Notes: Adjusted EBITDA excludes net increase in deferred revenue & deferred COGS of $147.1M (Q1), $301.5M (Q2), and $457.9M (Q3) .

User, Engagement, and Cost KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Average DAUs (Millions)97.8 111.8 151.5
Hours Engaged (Billions)21.7 27.4 39.6
Monthly Unique Payers (Millions)20.2 23.4 35.8
Developer Exchange Fees ($)$281.6 $316.4 $427.9
Infrastructure & Trust/Safety ($)$242.1 $260.7 $321.4

Q3 2025 Actual vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricActual Q3 2025S&P Consensus Q3 2025
Revenue$1.36B $1.70B*
Primary EPS-$0.37 -$0.51*
EBITDA (S&P definition)-$241.2M*$429.5M*

Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (7/31/25)Current Guidance (10/30/25)Change
RevenueFY 2025$4.39B–$4.49B $4.826B–$4.876B Raised
Bookings (non‑GAAP)FY 2025$5.87B–$5.97B $6.566B–$6.616B Raised
Consolidated Net LossFY 2025-$1.261B to -$1.201B -$1.129B to -$1.099B Improved
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025-$5M to $55M $102M–$132M Raised
Operating Cash FlowFY 2025$1.335B–$1.395B $1.614B–$1.644B Raised
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$310M $468M Raised (growth investment)
Free Cash FlowFY 2025$1.025B–$1.085B $1.146B–$1.176B Raised
RevenueQ4 2025$1.35B–$1.40B New
Bookings (non‑GAAP)Q4 2025$2.00B–$2.05B New
Consolidated Net LossQ4 2025-$375M to -$345M New
Adjusted EBITDAQ4 2025-$20M to $10M New
Operating Cash FlowQ4 2025$425M–$455M New
Capital ExpendituresQ4 2025$325M New
Free Cash FlowQ4 2025$100M–$130M New

Management noted CapEx uplift reflects demand surge and strategic investments in safety and AI; 2026 CapEx likely roughly flat vs 2025 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrior 2 Quarters (Q1–Q2 2025)Q3 2025 (Current)Trend
AI / CreationIntroduced Cube 3D; open-sourced mesh model; accelerating 3D object generation 7–8x; AI safety tools (RoGuard) 400+ AI systems; “Cube 4D” real‑time multiplayer generation; building world models from 13B+ hours/month; deploying GPUs in own DCs Expanding scope and infra commitment
Safety & RatingsNew tools (Trusted Connections), parental controls; safety voice classifier Plan to require facial age estimation for comms; adopt IARC; limit adult–minor comms; potential short‑term engagement headwinds Stricter standards, nearer‑term friction
Discovery & Content VelocityAlgorithmic transparency; thumbnails personalization; rising share of new titles in Top 100; spend in ranks 11–50 up sharply Moments beta; 20% more unique experiences surfaced per 1M recs; focus on long‑term ecosystem health signals Broadening discovery surfaces
Infrastructure & Scale32M peak concurrency; cloud burst complementing owned infra 45M peak concurrency; GPUs at scale; more edge DCs; near‑term cost‑to‑serve improvements harder Scaling aggressively; cost intensity near term
Creator EconomicsPrice optimization; regional pricing; Creator Rewards program DevEx rate +8.5%; $427.9M DevEx (+85% YoY); creators >$1B in 9 months More value to creators; higher DevEx mix
AdvertisingRewarded Video in beta w/ Google; early brand demand >140 creators onboarded; cautious near term, long‑term bullish Gradual build
Geography & MixIntl DAUs/bookings outpacing U.S./Canada APAC led hours/bookings; mix shift dilutes ABPMUP; U.S./Canada ABPMUP >10% YoY International acceleration with mix impact

Management Commentary

  • “Our third-quarter results demonstrate the tremendous progress we’ve made toward our goal of capturing 10% of the global gaming market… We are raising our guidance for the remainder of 2025.” — David Baszucki, CEO .
  • “We estimate now that 3.2% of global gaming bookings or revenue is going through Roblox, up from 2.3% last year… peak concurrency 45 million in August.” — David Baszucki .
  • “Bookings have grown faster than our ability to deploy the appropriate growth investments… you’re going to see some slight margin compression as we catch up over the next few quarters.” — Naveen Chopra, CFO .
  • “New safety policies… may cause some short-term friction… operating margin could decline slightly in 2026 given… higher DevEx rates and… infrastructure and safety related investments.” — Management .

Q&A Highlights

  • AI roadmap and GPUs: “Real-time generation in-experience in multiplayer” via Cube 4D; building world models; deploying GPUs on owned metal with cloud burst to manage peaks .
  • Creator economics vs competitors: DevEx rate matters, but creators weigh rate × platform scale × tools/velocity; intent to prudently shift more dollars to creators while managing costs .
  • Older cohorts and genre expansion: Tech roadmap (server authority, custom matchmaking, avatar fidelity) targets shooters/sports/racing/RPGs; two‑thirds of DAUs are now 13+ .
  • 2026 framing: Too early for numeric guidance; tough comps and safety rollouts could be headwinds; multiple tech tailwinds in H1’26 .
  • Ads/UA: Rewarded Video onboarding growing but near‑term contribution modest; exploring co‑funded paid acquisition with creators under disciplined ROAS .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 vs S&P Global: EPS beat (-$0.37 vs -$0.51 est), GAAP revenue missed ($1.36B vs $1.70B est), S&P EBITDA missed (actual -$241.2M vs $429.5M est)*. Roblox’s primary operating KPI (bookings) rose 70% YoY; revenue recognition defers most bookings over an estimated 27 months .
  • Forward estimates: Street models imply Q4 revenue ~$2.07B and FY25 ~$6.59B*, whereas management’s updated FY25 GAAP revenue outlook is $4.83–$4.88B reflecting deferral dynamics; expect consensus revisions to re-anchor on updated bookings/FCF and higher CapEx .
    Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Momentum is exceptional: DAUs, hours, bookings, OCF, and FCF all sharply higher, with multiple viral hits and healthier long‑tail engagement supporting durability .
  • FY25 outlook reset higher across bookings, revenue, OCF, and FCF; significant CapEx uplift underscores commitment to safety/AI and infra scaling .
  • Near‑term margin optics will be noisy (deferred revenue mechanics, rising DevEx/infra expense), but cash generation is strong and likely outgrows bookings into 2026 .
  • Mix shift toward 13+ and international is strategic, though ABPMUP dilution can persist; U.S./Canada monetization still improving .
  • Ads and commerce are call options; Rewarded Video is methodical near term with long‑term potential as tooling and demand mature .
  • 2026: Tough comps and safety rollouts could modestly pressure margins; multiple tech launches (AI/genres) provide offsetting growth vectors .
  • Trading lens: Expect focus on bookings trajectory vs viral-hit “fade,” cash flow resiliency, and 2026 margin commentary; any signals of sustained genre expansion or ad monetization acceleration likely positive catalysts .

Notes on non‑GAAP: Bookings, Adjusted EBITDA, and Free Cash Flow are non‑GAAP; reconciliations to GAAP are provided in company materials .

S&P Global disclaimer: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.